1st Edition
The Effects of Wars Lessons from the War in Ukraine
War has been an ever-present feature of human existence. The analysis of wars has tended to focus on either their causes or the military and strategic consequences of a conflict. This book argues that war can have a much wider impact across layers of society that go beyond international boundaries. It presents a heuristic multi-disciplinary framework for analysing the ripple and backwash effects across five connected analytical layers around the world: material; human capabilities; economic; values belief and attitudes; policy and governance; and power. Through this framework, the book introduces a set of empirically rich and theoretically informed studies which examine the first consequences of the war in Ukraine following the invasion of Russia in February 2022. This multi-disciplinary approach shows that the effects of the war were much deeper and sustained.
This volume will be of interest to students and scholars of international humanitarian law, security studies, peace and conflict studies, and European history. The chapters in this book were originally published as a special issue of Policy Studies.
Introduction - The effects of wars: lessons from the war in Ukraine
Pierre Bocquillon, Suzanne Doyle, Toby S. James, Ra Mason, Soul Park and Matilde Rosina
Part I: The Effects on Human Capabilities and Economies
1. The impact of the war on human capital and productivity in Ukraine
Balázs Égert and Christine de la Maisonneuve
2. Tax policy of Ukraine in terms of martial law
Vladyslav Teremetskyi, Volodymyr Valihura, Maryna Slatvinska, Valentyna Bryndak and Inna Gutsul
3. Disrupted harvests: how Ukraine – Russia war influences global food systems – a systematic review
Hamid El Bilali and Tarek Ben Hassen
4. Uncertainty, stock and commodity prices during the Ukraine-Russia war
Whelsy Boungou and Alhonita Yatié
5. The impact of the Russia-Ukraine War on European Union currencies: a high-frequency analysis
Mahmut Zeki Akarsu and Orkideh Gharehgozli
Part II: The Effects on Values, Beliefs and Attitudes
6. Forged in the fires of war: the rise of a new Ukrainian identity
Aaron F. Brantly
7. Increased support for collective defence in times of threat: European public opinion before and after Russia’s invasion of Ukraine
Matthias Mader
8. Chains of insecurities: constructing Ukraine’s agency in times of war
Yuliia Kurnyshova
Part III: The Effects on Policy and Governance
9. EU arms collaboration, procurement, and offsets: the impact of the war in Ukraine
Jonata Anicetti
10. Gradually and then suddenly: the effects of Russia’s attacks on the evolution of cybersecurity policy in Lithuania
Ramūnas Vilpišauskas
11. The war in Ukraine, the EU’s geopolitical awakening and implications for the “contested neighbourhood”
Ryhor Nizhnikau and Arkady Moshes
12. The arrival of Ukrainian refugees as an opportunity to advance migrant integration policy
Marie Jelínková, Michal Plaček and František Ochrana
13. Migration and soft power: the EU’s visa and refugee policy response to the war in Ukraine
Matilde Rosina
14. Conflict disruptions of epistemic communities: initial lessons from the impact of the Russian invasion of Ukraine
Anna Ivanova and Paul Thiers
Part IV: The Effects on Power and Relationships
15. Strategic narratives of Russia’s war in Ukraine: perspectives from China
Angela Pennisi di Floristella and Xuechen Chen
16. Russia-Ukraine War, India, and US grand strategy: punishing or leveraging neutrality?
Chirayu Thakkar
17. Wind of change: the impact of REPowerEU policy reforms on gas security
Moniek de Jong
18. The Arab Gulf states in the Asian energy market: is the Russia-Ukraine war a game changer?
Li-Chen Sim
19. Rethinking change in Japan's security policy: punctuated equilibrium theory and Japan's response to the Russian invasion of Ukraine
Paul O’Shea and Sebastian Maslow
Biography
Pierre Bocquillon is Lecturer in EU Politics and Policy at the School of Politics, Philosophy, Language and Communication Studies, University of East Anglia, UK. His current research interests include the external dimension of EU’s energy and climate policies, the politics of renewable energy promotion and the democratic governance of energy and climate change.
Suzanne Doyle is Lecturer in International Relations at the School of Politics, Philosophy, Language and Communication Studies, University of East Anglia, UK. Her areas of expertise include Nuclear Politics, US and British Defence Policy, Security Studies and the Cold War.
Toby S. James is Professor of Politics & Public Policy in the School of Politics, Philosophy, Language and Communication Studies, University of East Anglia, UK. His research interests are broad and cover democracy in practice, electoral institutions and malpractice, political participation, political leadership, statecraft theory, public administration, theories of the policy process and research methodologies.
Ra Mason is Associate Professor at the School of Politics, Philosophy, Language and Communication Studies, University of East Anglia, UK. He is an internationally recognised specialist in the international relations of the Indo-Pacific, with a specific focus on Japan.
Soul Park is Lecturer in International Relations at the School of Politics, Philosophy, Language and Communication Studies, University of East Anglia, UK. His main research and teaching interests are in international security, strategic studies, international relations theory and qualitative methods.
Matilde Rosina is Lecturer in International Relations at the College of Business, Arts and Social Sciences, Brunel University London, UK. Her research focuses on international political economy and migration, with specific reference to the European context.
